NFL Week 10 picks, best bets: Steelers cool off Joe Burrow's Bengals, Chiefs roll in Atlanta

Tyler Sullivan has mapped out Week 10 from top to bottom, and his list starts with two headline calls: the Steelers over Joe Burrow’s Bengals and the Chiefs in Atlanta. He also singled out five bets he likes enough to label locks against the spread. That gives the week a clear betting angle before the first kickoff even arrives.

A full slate of picks is about more than choosing winners. It means separating games that look close from games where a team is expected to cover the number as well as win outright. That is what makes spread analysis such a big part of NFL betting, especially when confidence is strong enough to earn a lock label.

The Steelers-Bengals selection is the kind of divisional call that tends to grab attention because games inside the same division are often framed by familiarity and urgency. Sullivan’s read is that Pittsburgh cools off Burrow’s Bengals, which makes that matchup one of the clearest statement picks on the board. The Chiefs pick in Atlanta carries a different kind of message, with Kansas City backed to roll on the road.

For readers, the appeal of a weekly best-bets column is the way it turns a long schedule into a set of decisions. Some picks are about the straight winner, while others are about whether a favorite can justify the points attached to it. With five locks against the spread in play, the bigger question now is how many of Sullivan’s strongest convictions hold up once Week 10 unfolds, and which underdogs can make the board harder to call. That is the tension that keeps every spread in focus.